February 8,2025
The recent announcement by newly inaugurated U.S. President Trump, suggesting a move to end birthright citizenship through an executive order, has sparked widespread debate. The proposal, targeting children born on U.S. soil to non-citizens or undocumented immigrants, challenges the long-standing application of the jus soli principle enshrined in the 14th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution. While the political and legal implications of this development have dominated headlines, the potential economic ripple effects are just as significant—not only in the United States but also for nations like the Philippines, where jus sanguinis governs citizenship by bloodline.
Source: The Texas Tribune
The jus soli principle grants citizenship to nearly anyone born within a country’s borders, while jus sanguinis, as applied in the Philippines, ties citizenship to one’s parents rather than birthplace. For Filipinos in the U.S., stricter birthright citizenship rules could mean diminished opportunities for their children to acquire U.S. citizenship automatically. This could deter future migration, affect job stability, and influence long-term investment behavior—including decisions to invest in Philippine real estate.
Filipino Migration and U.S. Immigration Data
As of 2022, about 4.1 million Filipino Americans lived in the United States, making up 17% of the nation’s total Asian American population, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Philippine Ambassador to the United States, Jose Manuel Romualdez, recently highlighted that approximately 350,000 Filipinos are currently living illegally in the U.S. Since 2001, a total of 9,597,961 cases have been filed across all U.S. immigration courts, with only 25,301 of those involving Filipinos, including just 723 who entered without inspection (EWI). Of the 3,716,106 cases still pending in immigration court (most of which involve EWI), only 1,218 involve people born in the Philippines. This data reveals that despite Filipino Americans constituting roughly 1% of the U.S. population, they represent only 0.002% of deportation proceedings, which is a notably low percentage.
The majority of Filipinos in removal proceedings are facing deportation for overstaying their visas, with two-thirds (16,844) of these cases linked to visa overstay. An additional 3,342 are in proceedings due to committing aggravated felonies, and 3,955 have been convicted of other criminal charges. There are also 12 individuals charged with national security violations and one Filipino charged with terrorism.
The Housing Paradox and its Economic Impact
In the Philippines, the housing market is already dealing with the dual challenges of oversupply and a significant housing backlog—issues that have long plagued the country’s real estate sector. Despite efforts to address these concerns, access to affordable housing remains a critical issue. However, amid this ongoing struggle, the sector faces another blow. The potential changes in U.S. birthright citizenship policy will exacerbate the situation.
Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs) and Filipino Americans are major drivers of real estate demand in the Philippines, sending billions of dollars in remittances annually to finance property purchases. OFWs based in the United States were the leading source of remittances received by the Philippines in 2023, amounting to around 13.71 billion U.S. dollars. However, if U.S. policy changes reduce the economic security tied to citizenship for these communities, their capacity and willingness to invest in Philippine properties could decline. This could further exacerbate the existing inventory challenges faced by real estate developers.
A reduction in U.S.-based remittances could also impact housing affordability and market segmentation. Developers, already grappling with oversupply, may need to pivot towards affordable housing to cater to the domestic market—a sector marked by intense competition. The increased supply targeting this sector could drive price corrections, creating both opportunities and risks for local buyers and investors.
Beyond the market dynamics, stricter U.S. citizenship policies could have sociopolitical implications for the Philippines. If long-term U.S. migration is discouraged for Filipinos, a potential increase in skilled professionals returning to the Philippines may reshape urban housing demand. The rental market and demand for mixed-use developments could see shifts, though it may take years for these changes to offset the current oversupply.
This issue is critical for Filipinos because migration, remittances, and real estate are deeply interconnected. The Philippine government, developers, and financial institutions must consider the potential consequences of global policy shifts, as these could have far-reaching effects on the local economy and housing market.
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